Articles | Volume 77, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gh-77-369-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/gh-77-369-2022
Standard article
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23 Sep 2022
Standard article |  | 23 Sep 2022

Shifting spatial patterns in German population trends: local-level hot and cold spots, 1990–2019

Tim Leibert, Manuel Wolff, and Annegret Haase

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Cited articles

ArcGIS: Hot Spot Analysis (Getis-Ord Gi*), ArcGIS [code], https://desktop.arcgis.com/en/arcmap/latest/tools/spatial-statistics-toolbox/hot-spot-analysis.htm, last access: 31 May 2022. 
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Short summary
Population development of German municipalities is characterised by pronounced regional disparities. In recent years, we have witnessed population growth in most large cities and their suburban hinterlands and shrinkage in structurally weak rural areas. We shed new light on the patterns, trends and drivers of population development between 1990 and 2019. Using spatial autocorrelation and hot-spot–cold-spot analysis, we identify short- and long-term population trajectories.